Sir Keir Starmer has been dealt the latest polling blow of his barely six-month-old tenure as Prime Minister after an "extraordinary" new survey has projected Labour to lose its majority - while Reform UK makes massive gains.
New data from pollsters at Stonehaven has laid out what Britain's electoral map would look like if an election were held tomorrow.
And it makes grim reading for Starmer's party, with Labour predicted to lose some 133 seats across Britain, while Reform, the Conservatives and the SNP make gains.
Labour would take home 278 seats, the Tories 157, Reform UK 120, the Lib Dems 47 and the SNP 24 under Stonehaven's data, as revealed by The i.
Reform UK would see their representation in the Commons increase by 115 - nearly as large a gain as Labour's predicted loss.
And in a further excruciating twist, top Cabinet Ministers including Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband would lose their seats.
They'd be joined by Defence Secretary John Healey, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson and Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy in what pollsters have branded a "wake-up call" for the Government.
Speaking out about Labour-to-Reform switchers, Luke Betham, the head of data science at Stonehaven, said: "Immigration is the key issue that is driving them away".
MORE SHOCK POLLS:
He added: "Labour should start by focusing on where these voters are, not where the party wants them to be.
"The change that was voted for at the last election cannot be realised, in their minds, unless immigration is part of the Government’s delivery narrative come the next election."
Reacting to the poll, Reform UK chairman Zia Yusuf hailed what he called a "much healthier dose of turquoise" across the map of Britain's Parliamentary constituencies.
He added: "Extraordinary. New MRP poll shows Reform winning 120 seats.
"We're close to overtaking the Tories in terms of seats won if an election were held today.
"We're bursting through the support levels where the First Past the Post system becomes a tailwind for Reform. Real change is coming to Britain."
Labour's Dover and Deal MP Mike Tapp, who would lose his seat to Reform UK if the Stonehaven poll came true, told the i: "We know that [immigration] matters to voters and it matters to us too.
"Border security is a part of our national security and that is why it is a fundamental part of our plans to rebuild the country.
"We did inherit open borders from the Conservatives, so it will take time to secure them."
Find Out More...
New data from pollsters at Stonehaven has laid out what Britain's electoral map would look like if an election were held tomorrow.
And it makes grim reading for Starmer's party, with Labour predicted to lose some 133 seats across Britain, while Reform, the Conservatives and the SNP make gains.
Labour would take home 278 seats, the Tories 157, Reform UK 120, the Lib Dems 47 and the SNP 24 under Stonehaven's data, as revealed by The i.
Reform UK would see their representation in the Commons increase by 115 - nearly as large a gain as Labour's predicted loss.
And in a further excruciating twist, top Cabinet Ministers including Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband would lose their seats.
They'd be joined by Defence Secretary John Healey, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson and Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy in what pollsters have branded a "wake-up call" for the Government.
Speaking out about Labour-to-Reform switchers, Luke Betham, the head of data science at Stonehaven, said: "Immigration is the key issue that is driving them away".
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- Nigel Farage would make sweeping gains with Labour LOSING 200 seats if election held today, new poll shows
- Revealed: Labour tipped to LOSE heartland after 114-year dominance as map shows shock Reform victory
He added: "Labour should start by focusing on where these voters are, not where the party wants them to be.
"The change that was voted for at the last election cannot be realised, in their minds, unless immigration is part of the Government’s delivery narrative come the next election."
Reacting to the poll, Reform UK chairman Zia Yusuf hailed what he called a "much healthier dose of turquoise" across the map of Britain's Parliamentary constituencies.
He added: "Extraordinary. New MRP poll shows Reform winning 120 seats.
"We're close to overtaking the Tories in terms of seats won if an election were held today.
"We're bursting through the support levels where the First Past the Post system becomes a tailwind for Reform. Real change is coming to Britain."
Labour's Dover and Deal MP Mike Tapp, who would lose his seat to Reform UK if the Stonehaven poll came true, told the i: "We know that [immigration] matters to voters and it matters to us too.
"Border security is a part of our national security and that is why it is a fundamental part of our plans to rebuild the country.
"We did inherit open borders from the Conservatives, so it will take time to secure them."
Find Out More...