A new poll has shown that Nigel Farage would make sweeping gains with Labour losing almost 200 seats if an election was held today.
Reform UK would gain 72 seats with Sir Keir Starmer losing his majority.
The poll put Reform as the third biggest party in the House of Commons, causing shockwaves in Westminster.
The Conservatives would take some 87 seats from Labour while the SNP would gain 26 from the leading party.
The group More in Common conducted the poll which surveyed around 11,000 people.
This is the first seat-by-seat analysis carried out since Labour won a majority at the July election.
Labour would be left with 228 seats and would still be the biggest party, with the Conservatives sat on 222 seats.
However the losses for Labour would see several big figures lose their seats to Reform.
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Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband and Home Secretary Yvette Cooper would lose their seats to Farage’s party.
Health Secretary Wes Streeting would also lose to an independent candidate in his Ilford North constituency.
The poll is a prediction of how people would currently vote if an election were to be held today, not a prediction of where voters would turn to at a general election.
It has also shown signs of a fragmentation of UK politics similar to France and Germany where one party has struggled to take a majority.
Luke Tryl of More in Common UK said: “With potentially four and a half years to go, this model is not a prediction of what would happen at the next general election.
“Instead it confirms the fragmentation of British politics that we saw in July’s election has only accelerated in Labour’s six months in office.”
This comes as Nigel Farage has been celebrating as 150,000 people signed up to Reform, with an astonishing 50,000 people joining this month.
Find Out More...
Reform UK would gain 72 seats with Sir Keir Starmer losing his majority.
The poll put Reform as the third biggest party in the House of Commons, causing shockwaves in Westminster.
The Conservatives would take some 87 seats from Labour while the SNP would gain 26 from the leading party.
The group More in Common conducted the poll which surveyed around 11,000 people.
This is the first seat-by-seat analysis carried out since Labour won a majority at the July election.
Labour would be left with 228 seats and would still be the biggest party, with the Conservatives sat on 222 seats.
However the losses for Labour would see several big figures lose their seats to Reform.
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Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband and Home Secretary Yvette Cooper would lose their seats to Farage’s party.
Health Secretary Wes Streeting would also lose to an independent candidate in his Ilford North constituency.
The poll is a prediction of how people would currently vote if an election were to be held today, not a prediction of where voters would turn to at a general election.
It has also shown signs of a fragmentation of UK politics similar to France and Germany where one party has struggled to take a majority.
Luke Tryl of More in Common UK said: “With potentially four and a half years to go, this model is not a prediction of what would happen at the next general election.
“Instead it confirms the fragmentation of British politics that we saw in July’s election has only accelerated in Labour’s six months in office.”
This comes as Nigel Farage has been celebrating as 150,000 people signed up to Reform, with an astonishing 50,000 people joining this month.
Find Out More...